Brazil's 1-1 draw with Morocco made one thing clear: reputation is not the same as control. Morocco did not survive by luck alone. They stayed compact, attacked quickly when space opened and forced Brazil into a rhythm that never felt comfortable.
The danger tonight is not necessarily the biggest match on the schedule. It is the match where the favorite is expected to respond, has to push forward and may leave transition space behind. Czechia vs South Africa and Mexico vs South Korea both carry that type of upset profile.
The key is to read the match state, not only the price. If the favorite needs a win, the underdog has pace and the game can stay low-scoring into the first half, the upset threat is real.
